Polymarket

The S&P 500 climbed on Monday as semiconductor stocks rebounded from last week’s sharp selloff and Polymarket traders are betting the benchmark index will build on those gains at Tuesday’s open. The S&P 500 rose 0.30% to close at 7,405.73 on Monday, recovering some ground after...

Cryptocurrency punters raised odds that OpenAI could debut with a market valuation above $1.5 trillion, following the AI giant's confidential IPO filing. OpenAI To Be Next Trillion-Dollar Giant? Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket assigned a 48% possibility that the...

Cryptocurrency punters are largely convinced that Iran will participate in the FIFA World Cup, despite elevated geopolitical tensions and complications with U.S. visas. Will Iran Play In The US? Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket assigned 94% odds that the Iranian team will play in at...

The S&P 500 rebounded on Thursday after snapping a nine-day winning streak a day earlier, but Polymarket traders are overwhelmingly betting the benchmark index will open lower on Friday. The S&P 500 gained 0.41% to close at 7,584.31 on Thursday, recovering part of Wednesday’s decline...

The S&P 500 snapped a nine-session winning streak on Wednesday as rising oil prices and Treasury yields pressured equities. Polymarket traders are overwhelmingly betting on another weak start for the benchmark index. The S&P 500 fell 0.74% to 7,553.68 on Wednesday, retreating from record...

As Elon Musk-led SpaceX is weeks away from its public debut, bettors on the Prediction Market platform Polymarket have weighed in on the closing market capitalization of the commercial space flight company following the IPO. Polymarket Bettors Weigh In On SpaceX Market Cap Traders bet on a 75%...

The S&P 500 closed above the 7,600 level for the first time on Tuesday, extending its record-setting rally, but Polymarket traders are leaning toward a weaker start for the benchmark index on Wednesday. The S&P 500 gained 0.13% to finish at a record 7,609.78 on Tuesday. The June 3...

Cryptocurrency bettors are raising the possibility of Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) diving below $50,000 this year as sentiment toward the leading digital asset continues to deteriorate. Bookmakers Turn Bearish On BTC As of this writing, Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based ...

The S&P 500 extended its record-setting run on Monday, powered by technology stocks and fresh enthusiasm around artificial intelligence, but Polymarket traders are leaning toward a lower open on Tuesday. The S&P 500 closed up 0.26% at a record 7,599.96 on the first day of the month. The...

Cryptocurrency bettors don’t see high odds of Benjamin Netanyahu being ousted in 2026, even as Israeli Prime Minister reportedly received an “expletive-laden call” from President Donald Trump over Lebanon. No Threat To Netanyahu’s Power As Yet Polygon (CRYPTO:...

Economist Robin Hanson accused critics and the media of exaggerating “imperfections” in prediction markets and holding them to “unusual standards” compared to other sectors. Things Blown Out Of Proportion? Hanson, known for his pioneering work in the field of prediction...

Market prediction platform, Kalshi, has launched an index to evaluate the political power equilibrium in Washington on Thursday. This index, known as the Kalshi American Power Index (KPOW), aims to offer an in-depth perspective on the current political power dynamics and potential shifts. It...

The S&P 500 eked out another record close on Wednesday as easing oil prices offset weakness in parts of the semiconductor trade, but Polymarket traders are leaning slightly bearish ahead of a crucial inflation reading due Thursday. The S&P 500 rose 0.02% to close at a fresh record of 7,520....

The Justice Department charged a software engineer at Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL)-owned Google on Wednesday with allegedly profiting over $1 million on Polymarket by misusing confidential information. Insider Trading In Google? Michele Spagnuolo, an Italian citizen...

The S&P 500 climbed to another record high on Tuesday, driven by a rally in technology stocks and optimism that negotiations between the U.S. and Iran could eventually lead to an end to the conflict. The benchmark index gained 0.61% to close at 7,519.12. The May 27 Polymarket contract implied a...