Polymarket

On the day of the U.S. presidential election, prediction platforms Kalshi and Polymarket reached unprecedented rankings on Apple Inc.’s (NASDAQ:AAPL) App Store. What Happened: Kalshi, a federally-regulated betting platform, clinched the number one position in the free app and ‘Finance...

Pseudonymous Polymarket trader ‘Redegen‘ ended Election Day down $6.7 million, marking a dramatic setback in his high-stakes political betting after Donald Trump won re-election. What Happened: Redegen, now going by “theRealTaylorSwift” on prediction market Polymarket, placed...

Editor’s note: The story has been updated with additional details about Polymarket. The French ‘Trump whale’ known as Theo has successfully netted a profit of almost $50 million on several bets related to Donald Trump winning the 2024 presidential election. What Happened: The...

Former President Donald Trump won North Carolina in the 2024 presidential race, securing the state’s 16 electoral votes with a substantial lead over Vice President Kamala Harris. What Happened: With nearly 94% of expected votes counted, Trump led by more than 195,000 votes or 3.6 percentage...

With high stakes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, Polymarket is witnessing substantial trading volumes as users place bets on likely outcomes. Here's a look at five of the top prediction markets that are drawing attention, offering data-driven insights into possible election day developments...

Editor’s Note: This article has been updated to eliminate duplicate content. Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi have surged in popularity during the 2024 election cycle. Here’s all you need to know about the betting markets on Election Day as the U.S. elects a new president,...

Bettors in the 2024 U.S. election are increasingly favoring Donald Trump, with odds from regulated platforms like Kalshi reflecting a clear edge over Kamala Harris. What Happened: As of Election Day at 11.45 a.m. ET, data from Kalshi's U.S.-regulated prediction market indicates Trump has a 59%...

The tiny town of Dixville Notch, New Hampshire, cast its votes for president just after midnight as per longstanding tradition, and the results there were the same as polls and predictions across the nation: The race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is a tie. What Happened: Harris and Trump...

With election day underway, prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi are showing divergent odds for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump as major politics traders have placed their bets on the Vice President. What Happened: Kamala Harris’s odds of winning the presidency stand at 41% on Kalshi,...

Donald Trump has regained his advantage over Kamala Harris in online prediction markets on the final day before the election, but FiveThirtyEight and Nate Silver aren’t so sure. What Happened: Harris moved ahead of Trump on the Kalshi betting market over the weekend, but as of Monday...

Robinhood Markets (NASDAQ:HOOD) recently launched 2024 election contracts and in one week the company passed an impressive milestone as Election Day (Nov. 5) nears. What Happened: Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev shared on X that the company passed 100 million contracts traded in less than a week since...

A new whale trader has become Donald Trump’s biggest shareholder in Polymarket’s 2024 presidential election winner market. What Happened: Data from Lookonchain revealed the whale, known as "zxgngl," withdrawing 2.36 million (CRYPTO: USDC) from Binance to place a fresh bet on Trump's...

Professional politics trader ‘Domer’ on Sunday announced that he is accumulating a position on Vice President Kamala Harris to win the election. What Happened: Domer’s investment thesis, which led him betting over $500,000 on Kamala Harris to win the presidency, the popular vote...

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (NASDAQ:DJT) shares are volatile Monday as polls and prediction markets show a tight race with less than 48 hours to go in the U.S. presidential election.  What To Know: Trump Media & Technology stock has become a proxy for the presidential election...

Influential economist Justin Wolfers noticed a significant shift in prediction market odds at Polymarket, sparking speculation about the declining influence of a whale heavily betting in favor of former President Donald Trump. What Happened: Wolfers, in his X post on Sunday, drew attention to the...