Polymarket

The presidential odds and betting markets show a fairly even head-to-head matchup between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential election. Here's a look at who has the edge and how the markets have shifted in recent months. What Happened: With President Joe Biden dropping out of...

A Polymarket trader known as “Bama124“ has emerged as the undisputed victor in the Democratic Vice Presidential nominee prediction market, as Minnesota governor Tim Walz was picked to be the running mate of Vice President Kamala Harris. Whaat Happened: This decision, coming almost...

A group of Democratic lawmakers, led by Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), has called on the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Chair Rostin Behnam to swiftly finalize a rule banning event contracts that allow betting on political outcomes. What Happened: In a letter sent on Monday,...

Minnesota Governor Tim Walz established a lead over the Governor of Pennsylvania, Josh Shapiro on the cryptocurrency-based betting platform, Polymarket in the race for Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris' running mate. What Happened: The odds of Walz jumped from 23% to 53% on the so-...

Former President Donald Trump's lead on prediction markets over Kamala Harris has shrunk to its narrowest since the Vice President entered the race.  What Happened: Trump's chances have decreased to 53%, while Vice President Harris’ chances are at a personal high 44%. Following the failed...

Vice President Kamala Harris is making a strategic pivot towards the cryptocurrency sector, even as prediction markets show her facing an uphill battle in the 2024 presidential race. What Happened: According to prediction market platform Polymarket, Harris currently holds a 43% chance of winning...

A bettor on a cryptocurrency-based prediction market, Polymarket, went underwater after gambling in favor of a Donald Trump victory in the upcoming presidential elections. What Happened: As revealed by the platform's official X handle, a trader, going by the pseudonym truppppp, is down more than 12...

Billionaire business magnate Mark Cuban has declared his willingness to gamble on whether former President Donald Trump will exhibit a “belly laugh” before the forthcoming election. What Happened: Cuban, a vocal critic of Trump, took to social media to suggest a bet on Trump’s...

A Polymarket trader known as “BigMikeBeliever” has suffered a substantial loss betting on former first lady Michelle Obama‘s potential nomination for the 2024 Presidential race. According to data from the prediction market platform Polymarket, the trader is currently down $329,356...

New data from prediction market Polymarket shows that bettors are overwhelmingly confident that former President Barack Obama will endorse Vice President Kamala Harris in her presidential bid. What Happened: The market bids, which close on Aug. 22, show a 93% likelihood of Obama’s endorsement...

A trader on crypto-based prediction market Polymarket bet over $1 million on President Joe Biden not finishing his term, despite the President committing to the contrary in his Wednesday speech. What Happened: Besides betting $1 million on the President resigning early, ‘Anon1933‘ also...

Vice President Kamala Harris appears ready to secure the Democratic Party's nomination and could soon be tasked with selecting a vice-presidential candidate to be her running mate in the 2024 election. What Happened: Harris has secured enough delegates to win the party's nomination according to...

Data from prediction market platform Polymarket indicates that bettors think former First Lady Michelle Obama may have a chance at becoming the Democratic nominee for the Presidential election. The market, which has attracted over $214 million in bets, gives Michelle Obama a 11% chance of replacing...

Polymarket data shows almost $80 million have been wagered on the immediate political future of President Joe Biden. What Happened: The most substantial betting pool focused on predicting the Democratic nominee, a process set to begin officially at the party’s convention on Aug. 19. Biden...

The odds of President Joe Biden finishing his tenure dropped dramatically on a cryptocurrency-based prediction market as the 81-year-old announced withdrawal from the 2024 presidential race. What Happened: Polymarket, touted as the world's largest prediction market, saw odds of Biden completing the...