Polymarket

The S&P 500 rose 0.8% on Wednesday to close at a record 7,022.95, extending its recent rally as investors continued to bet that the U.S.-Iran war may soon draw to a close. The Polygon-based (CRYPTO: POL) Polymarket crowd remains bullish heading into Thursday. The April 16 market shows 60% of...

Although President Donald Trump claimed the Iran war is "very close to being over," cryptocurrency punters remain unconvinced, with odds still reflecting skepticism about a quick resolution. Crypto Bettors See No Immediate End To Conflict Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket ...

The S&P 500 climbed 1.18% on Tuesday to close at 6,967.38, extending its recent rally as easing oil prices and renewed hopes of a U.S.-Iran deal lifted sentiment. The Polygon-based (CRYPTO: POL) Polymarket crowd appears split heading into Wednesday. The April 15 market shows 51% traders betting...

Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) called for an investigation into alleged insider trading on prediction markets on Tuesday, citing “well-timed bets” ahead of U.S. strikes on Iran. That’s Not Luck, Says Warren Warren wrote in an X post that some traders correctly...

New financial disclosures released by Kevin Warsh reveal how much President Donald Trump's pick to lead the Federal Reserve could be worth and what he holds stakes in. Kevin Warsh's Financial Disclosures Named Trump's pick to lead the Federal Reserve, Warsh could succeed current Chairman Jerome...

Cryptocurrency punters sharply raised odds on Iran halting uranium enrichment after reports suggesting the Middle Eastern nation was willing to suspend its nuclear activity. Will Iran Abandon Its Nuclear Program? Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket showed a 41% possibility that...

As Elon Musk-led SpaceX prepares for its IPO, traders on prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the listing to be delayed beyond its planned June timeline. 90% Chance SpaceX IPO Gets Delayed 91% of the bettors on Polymarket on Sunday thought that the IPO would take place...

Despite peace talks falling apart this weekend, cryptocurrency punters don't see high chances of the two-week U.S.–Iran ceasefire ending just yet. Will The Ceasefire Extend? Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket assigned a 42% possibility that the temporary ceasefire would...

The Trump administration has cautioned its staff against using their positions for well-timed betting in futures markets. The White House Management Office disseminated the warning to all staff via email on March 24, just a day after President Donald Trump announced a five-day pause...

The S&P 500 extended its relief rally on Thursday, rising 0.62% to close at 6,824.66, as optimism around a fragile ceasefire in the Middle East continued to support equities. The Polygon-based (CRYPTO: POL) Polymarket crowd is bearish heading into Friday. The April 10 market shows only 38% of...

The S&P 500 surged on Wednesday, rising 2.51% to close at 6,782.81, as markets rallied sharply following President Donald Trump's decision to pause attacks on Iran. However, the Polygon-based (CRYPTO: POL) Polymarket crowd has turned bearish heading into Thursday. The April 9 market shows a...

For weeks, the Iran war was an inflation story. Oil above $110 meant $4 gasoline, higher transport costs, higher everything — a sustained supply-side shock that forced the Federal Reserve to stay on hold, and markets to price out every cut that had been penciled in before the start of Operation...

The S&P 500 edged higher on Tuesday, rising 0.08% to close at 6,616.85, as investors bet on a last-minute diplomatic breakthrough in the Iran war. The Polygon-based (CRYPTO: POL) Polymarket crowd is leaning strongly bullish heading into Wednesday. The April 8 market shows a clear majority of...

Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour said prediction markets could soon face regulatory scrutiny over potential fraud and insider trading risks, a move he welcomed. Mansour, in Tuesday’s episode of “The Axios Show,” expressed concerns about the potential for fraudulent activities in the...

Rep. Seth Moulton (D-Mass.) condemned Polymarket for permitting users to wager on whether a missing U.S. service member would be recovered after shot down over Iran. "This is DISGUSTING," Moulton wrote on X. In Washington, the episode is feeding wider alarm about prediction markets, including staff...