Polymarket

Prediction markets are assigning a higher possibility that Federal Bureau of Investigation Director Kash Patel will leave the Trump administration this year. Patel’s Exit Odds Soar Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket odds on Patel’s departure spiked to an all-time high of 77%,...

The S&P 500 rose on Wednesday, gaining 0.72% to close at 6,575.32, as optimism around a potential end to the Iran war lifted sentiment for a second straight session. The Polygon-based (CRYPTO: POL) Polymarket crowd is turning cautious heading into Thursday. The April 2 market shows just a 5%...

The word-mention prediction market was buzzing before President Donald Trump‘s much-anticipated televised address, and bettors scored big based on which terms he used and which he avoided. The Winners And Losers After Trump’s repeated hints that the military campaign against...

Elon Musk’s SpaceX has confidentially filed its IPO paperwork with the SEC, putting the company on track for a potential July listing that could raise between $40 billion and $80 billion. That would dwarf Saudi Aramco’s $29 billion debut in 2019 as the largest IPO ever. •...

Commodity Futures Trading Chairman Michael Selig said today that the agency is in active discussions with all major sports leagues about prediction market integrity, as the industry’s biggest backer builds out institutional trading infrastructure. “We’re talking to all the sports...

JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) CEO Jamie Dimon has revealed that the largest U.S. bank is mulling over the idea of offering prediction market services to its customers. Speaking to CBS Evening News on Tuesday, Dimon said, “It’s possible one day we’ll do something like that....

The S&P 500 surged on Tuesday, rising 2.91% to close at 6,528.52, marking its best single-day performance since May as hopes for an end to the Iran war lifted investor sentiment. The Polygon-based (CRYPTO: POL) Polymarket crowd is leaning bullish heading into Wednesday. The April 1 market shows...

Cryptocurrency bettors remain unconvinced that vessel traffic in the Strait of Hormuz will return to normal by the end of the month despite President Donald Trump hinting at winding down the Iran campaign. Will Normalcy Return To Global Oil Trade? Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket shows 23%...

Stocks surged on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 up more than 2% and the Nasdaq gaining over 3%, as President Donald Trump told aides he would consider ending the war in Iran even without reopening the Strait of Hormuz. • United States Oil Fund stock is trading at elevated levels. What’s...

The S&P 500 extended its losing streak on Monday, falling 0.39% to close at 6,343.72, as rising oil prices and weakness in technology stocks continued to pressure the broader market. The Polygon-based (CRYPTO: POL) Polymarket crowd is leaning bullish heading into Tuesday. The March 31 market...

Cryptocurrency punters ramped up expectations of a U.S. ground invasion of Iran, while lowering the likelihood of a diplomatic truce between the two nations. Crypto Prediction Market Heats Up Polymarket, built on Polygon (CRYPTO: POL), assigned a 70% probability to U.S. ground troops entering Iran...

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell more than 400 points today, dropping into correction territory as wartime supply fears kept Brent crude hovering near $111 a barrel and the S&P 500 headed for its fifth straight weekly decline, its longest losing streak since 2022. But the bigger story is...

Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (NYSE:ICE) invested $600 million in cash into Polymarket, completing a funding plan that gives the New York Stock Exchange owner a roughly $1.6 billion stake in the world’s largest prediction market. Intercontinental Exchange initially invested $1 billion in...

The S&P 500 tumbled on Thursday, falling 1.74% to close at 6,477.16, as rising oil prices and uncertainty around the Iran war weighed heavily on markets. However, the Polygon-based (CRYPTO: POL) Polymarket crowd is leaning bullish heading into Friday. The March 27 market shows 54% traders...

Cryptocurrency bettors don’t see Iran losing control of Kharg Island anytime soon, amid reports that President Donald Trump is considering a military deployment to the key oil export hub. Heavily Wagered Bet Polymarket, based on Polygon (CRYPTO: POL), currently assigns a 35% probability that...